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	<title>Bay City Ball &#187; playoffs</title>
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		<title>Wheels. Off.</title>
		<link>http://www.baycityball.com/2008/10/17/wheels-off/</link>
		<comments>http://www.baycityball.com/2008/10/17/wheels-off/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 17 Oct 2008 13:32:04 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Chris Quick</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[General Baseball]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[boston]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[dan wheeler]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[pitchf/x]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[playoffs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[tampa bay]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.baycityball.com/?p=1795</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[You&#8217;re killing me Dan Wheeler. Note: This only includes Wheeler&#8217;s 8th inning and not the .1 inning pitched at the end of the 7th. Did Joe Maddon leave Wheeler in too long? It&#8217;s easy to look back on the moves that didn&#8217;t work but Wheeler looked terrible in the 8th inning last night. He was [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>You&#8217;re killing me Dan Wheeler.</p>
<p><img class="alignnone size-full wp-image-1796" title="danwheeler" src="http://www.baycityball.com/wordpress/wp-content/uploads/2008/10/danwheeler.png" alt="" width="450" height="378" /></p>
<p><em>Note: This only includes Wheeler&#8217;s 8th inning and not the .1 inning pitched at the end of the 7th.</em></p>
<p>Did Joe Maddon leave Wheeler in too long? It&#8217;s easy to look back on the moves that didn&#8217;t work but Wheeler looked terrible in the 8th inning last night. He was constantly missing up in the zone &#8212; he was actually reminding me of watching classic Scott Munter &#8212; and when you top out at 90mph, going upstairs might not be your best approach to getting hitters out. It wasn&#8217;t just Wheeler that struggled either. Grant Balfour*, the Rays best reliever this year and a favorite of mine, ran into trouble in the 7th and had to be bailed out by Wheeler.</p>
<p><em>*Speaking of Balfour his numbers from this year are ridiculous: 58.1 IP, 28 H, 10 ER, 3 HR, 24 BB, 82 SO, 1.54 ERA. Maybe the coolest thing about Balfour is that he only throws one pitch; his fastball. According to FanGraphs, Balfour threw his fastball 91.3% of the time at an average of 94.6mph. That&#8217;s Mariano Rivera territory for dominance with one pitch. Rivera threw his cutter 82% of the time this year. It&#8217;s amazing that hitters know what Balfour is going to do and they&#8217;ve still struggled to hit him.</em></p>
<p>Wheeler enters the 8th and gives up a 2-run HR to JD Drew who yanks a fastball down the pipe into the RF stands and then retires the next two hitters, Lowrie and Casey, before giving up a loud double to Mark Kotsay that was just out of the reach of Bossman Junior. At this point, I&#8217;m not sure what I would have done if I were Maddon. Even when Wheeler was getting guys out in the 8th inning, he wasn&#8217;t exactly looking dominant and his control was all over the place. JP Howell &#8212; who eventually ran into his own trouble in the 9th &#8212; was in the bullpen for Maddon at this time but with Coco Crisp at the plate &#8212; he&#8217;s got a better career split against LHP &#8212; I can see why he might have been reluctant to bring in JP. Even to my untrained eye, Wheeler did not look good and I think I would have taken my chances with Howell &#8212; who has been used in high leverage situations this year and against LHB&#8217;s. Howell dominated both RHB&#8217;s and LHB&#8217;s this year and had to be a better option than Wheeler.</p>
<p>As it ends up, Maddon leaves in Wheeler and to Coco Crisp&#8217;s credit, he had a great AB. Crisp battles for 10 pitches before lining a single into RF that scores Kotsay from second to tie the game at 7-7. The Red Sox eventually win the game in the 9th. Tough loss for the Rays, but I&#8217;ll still be rooting for them.</p>
<p><strong>Comment Starter</strong>: What would you have done?</p>
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