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Fergie348
Fergie348

With the pitching they've got, in the park they play in this team has to have more speed and more patience. Having Posey and Sanchez back will help, but who will set the table? Torres has the speed but he absolutely lacks the patience. We need a true leadoff hitter like crazy - we need to make the opposing pitching staff work, and when we get on base we need to make him sweat. Giants do not get on base enough and do not make at bats last long enough to do either. We've got only a couple truly patient hitters (Posey being the best example. Belt will be patient as well once he learns the league and calms down), then we've got the hack-tastic Pablo Sandoval who is a very good ML hitter but that's a bat you cannot manage. When will Gary Brown be ready to assume his rightful place in CF, and what do we do about shortstop? To me, those are the big questions we've got to answer.

Robert Haymond
Robert Haymond

Just got a post from Bruce Bochy (many of you will have received the same fan letter) indicating how happy he was to be home in the warm confines of home field. I felt even more hostile as a result of reading this. Tried to reply but the format of the email did not allow me. Buttering up the fans as opposed to an honest evaluation of the Giants team and attempting to play the warmth he said he felt as opposed to indicating that he was upset at how poorly the Giants had done this year tells me, once again, how Bochy has become a working bureeaucrat as opposed to a manager determined to win. Woe to the Giants next year!

Chatom
Chatom

Not to belabor the point, but Sandoval just sac bunted with no out and runners on first and second. This team is clueless.

Paapfly
Paapfly

Not a proponent of the sac bunt, but this was a bit of a special circumstance. He was batting lefty versus a lefty (because of his injured shoulder), a situation in which he hasn't had much success.

marc
marc

Absolutely agree with Liem, both about TV money (which I do believe dwarfs attendance revenue) and about 1B. That's about their last need, and while I don't believe Pujols or Fielder will get what's been bandied about, they'll get close enough to it, which is far more than they're worth. And, in my more conspiracy-minded moments, I think the whole extra wildcard deal is actually a way to make sure the big market teams (read: TV revenue producing) get in. I'm sure the networks were not pleased with a SF/Texas World Series last year, and I'm sure that they are not pleased at all that TB may make it and not Boston. Sabean & Bochy - I don't know. Injuries aside, were any of the position players' seasons really that surprising? They should have known better from day one. It almost takes a superhuman effort to waste what the pitching staff did this year, topped by the out-of-left-field Vogelsong as a gift. I have long seen Sabean's strategy as going after complementary players - he hasn't been bad at that, but there has to be someone to actually complement. I fear that this off-season will see a slight-above-average FA outfielder and same for SS. That just won't cut it, again. And a healthy Posey, half-rookie Belt and injury-prone Sanchez aren't enough - yes, all those guys should play every day, they're big assets, but I continue to be surprised that Sabean didn't learn from Bonds' last years that you need a complete team. I don't get that.

BruxB
BruxB

With the number of injuries the team has sustained this year, I'm surprised this article wasn't written a month or more ago. That the Giants even have a winning season is surprising to me.

Liem
Liem

The Giants do not play in a big ballpark (16th in capacity out of 30). They play in a top-10 TV market, but not a top-5.

Robert Haymond
Robert Haymond

Attendance, in terms of consistency re 40,000 fans or more during each home game, is third in the major leagues. It's not the overall capacity which counts but the number of fans who attend, the disbursements in terms of food, drink, clothing, etc. Without a season's ticket, try and get in without resorting to a scalper.

Liem
Liem

The Giants' refusal to sign FA hitting stars is one of the few things the front office has done well. It's not that I'm against signing big-hitters. What I am against is tying up financial resources in an aging free-agent who, less-than half way into his $100+ million contract, will be in his 30s. For the most part, as I've mentioned, these types of contracts more often than not cripple teams not playing in the Northeast. Of course, if the rumors of correct, some of the Giants non-signings may not have been design (see Alfonso Soriano and Carlos Lee). Back to your point, though, in order to improve hitting, the Giants need only stay the course, developing their own hitters through the draft and overseas signings. Sandoval, Schierholtz, Posey, with Pill, Belt, and (cross your fingers) Brown soon coming, are an excellent start. To shore up the remaining gaps, the Giants only need to sign/trade for capable replacement level free agents, who can be found at reasonable prices. Examples of these reasonably-priced types would be Freddy Sanchez, Cody Ross, Juan Uribe from 2008-10,and even Mike Fontenot. These players, even if they crash and burn, would not cripple the Giants' payroll, but, if they contribute even a little, could turn the Giants into a formidable team. Remember, the Giants only needed a league average offense for half the season to win the title in 2010. The approach just described should give the Giants a league average offense, provide the financial flexibility to keep the pitching staff mostly intact, and even leave a little extra for a mid-season deal, like this year's for Beltran, or even a big run at one of those rare younger free-agents who will be in his mid-20s, like a Justin Upton-type. As for the attendance figures, the Giants being 3rd in attendance only reflects a one-year spike thanks to last season's post season. Last season the Giants were 9th in attendance, and the season before that 10th. And, as I mentioned above, the Giants still have a $16 million/year handicap since they financed their own ballpark. The bottom line is the Giants are wealthy, but not wealthy enough to sign bad contracts. Zito and Rowand have crippled this franchise, and, once those two clear the books in 2013 and 2014, the Giants should do everything in their power to avoid making similar mistakes.

Robert Haymond
Robert Haymond

Here's another perspective: The Giants are third in the major leagues in terms of consistency of attendance (over 40,000 per game). Yes, that's right, third in all the major leagues (that's twenty-eight teams). A giant game is not a "game", it's an "event" for all their fans, a "giant" event (if you can get tickets (see "scalping") as a vocation). Which means that the Giants do not need to field a good team; all the brass needs to do is to field a "team" and that's what it does do. Yes, there was the Barry Zito fiasco (about five years ago). Now, the Giants make their potential rookie stars wait until the season is well under way in order to keep them under control for an extra year (see Brandon Belt and Buster Posey). Will the Giants make a respectable bid on Cardinals first baseman Albert Pujols or Milwaukee first baseman Prince Fielder? Not on your life. They'll keep weak hitting no longer competitive veteran Aubrey Huff until his contract runs out. When Matt Caine and Tim LIncecum are freed from Gant control, the wise thing to do would be to sign with one of the strong hitting baseball clubs which would provide their pitching prowess with run support. Watch their won-lost record significantly improve. The front office and ownership are what is wrong with San Francisco baseball!

Robert Haymond
Robert Haymond

To summarize, the Giants play in a big ballpark (region) but with a small city mentality.

Liem
Liem

Regardless of how many fans the Giants draw to their home games, the Giants can not make up for the massive disparity in TV money. The Giants TV broadcasts earlier this year averaged a record 124,938 households. The New York Yankees, during a ho-hum 2010 season, averaged 328,000 homes, while the Mets averaged of 244,000 homes. Remember, TV games include road games, so even while the Yanks and Mets are on the road, they are drawing a ton of money. Local TV markets are a huge cash cow for MLB teams because, unlike the NFL, MLB teams do not have to share TV money equally. In short real big market teams like the New York, Chicago, LA teams, and Boston and Philadelphia are able to earn much more money than the Giants thanks to their TV deals Remember too that the Giants are paying a $16 million dollar mortgage on the ball park, which severely handicaps their payroll flexibility. The bottom line is that there are many other factors to consider other than just paid attendance when evaluating a team's fiscal resources. Regarding your complaint over the Giants unwillingness to pursue Pujols and Fielder, why would the Giants make a "strong run" for Pujols or Fielder? The Giants appear to have two very promising young players who can play at 1B, Belt and Pill. Plus, with Sandoval unable to control his weight, 1B maybe a future position for the Kung Fu Panda. Furthermore, signing big-time free-agents means outbidding everyone else, which--by definition-- means paying the premium market price. Pujols is a 31 year-old looking to secure a 7+ year deal for over $200 million; on the other hand, Fielder, who will be 28 next spring, will likely be looking for something 6-7 year range for over $150 million. Even if Pujols and Fielder remain productive (a big if for players in their 30s) they will likely never produce enough WAR to justify their salaries. Again the only teams that can afford to over pay that much for talent are the two New York teams, the two Chicago teams, the two LA teams, Boston and Philadelphia. The Giants may get lucky since New York-AL, Boston, and Philly are all set at first-base, but there are plenty "Giant"-size market teams like St. Louis, Texas, and Atlanta that would participate in a bidding war. The Giants would be much better off focusing their resources on improving positions of need such as SS, 2B (F. Sanchez has proven injury prone and is getting up in years), and CF.

Robert Haymond
Robert Haymond

Let's say you're right re not needing a first baseman, in general, the Giants refuse to sign up hitting stars from other teams. You are against bidding for stars from other teams. How do you figure on the Giants ever significantly improving their hitting?

agordon212
agordon212

San Francisco is the sixth largest TV market in the country, ranked just above number seven, Boston. The Giants can be a large market team, they just need to put together a string of winning seasons and get the TV ratings up.

Liem
Liem

The Giants split that TV market with Oakland A's, so the pool of possible viewers is actually much smaller than that of Boston. You also have to consider that West Coast sports teams consistently have more difficultly drawing the same numbers as their North-East Coast counter-parts, such that expecting the Giants, or any other team West of the Rockies, to put up Boston-like revenues would be far-fetched. You are still absolutely right that the Giants are "large market team," but they are not mega/elite/super markets like NY, Boston, Chicago, LA. People need to keep that fact in mind when they make statements like "the Giants should make a run for player-X, who is seeking a long term deal upwards of $160 million." These players rarely play up to the value of contracts. The NYYs and Bostons of the world can afford to overpay for that sort of talent, because they have the cash flow to absorb the WAR-inefficiency. The Giants do not, though. This is precisely why Sabean's tactic of favoring veterans fails. To simply the Giants flawed strategy this past year let's just say that good veterans are expensive. Because the Giants lack the mega pay-roll, they must find cheaper veterans. Cheaper veterans are cheap for a reason: they are either too old or not very good (or, as is the case of this year's veterans, both). In order for the Giants to win within their budget, they must develop their own talent (almost there...), and trade some of that young talent for reasonably priced veterans, sign a few key low-priced FAs to fill positions of need, and get lucky signing one big free agent (see: Barry Bonds 1993). Unfortunately the two big free agent signings on the books are Aaron Rowand and Barry Zito. Having wasted not one, but two precious long term free agent deals, but at the same time having a fantastic core of young talent, Sabean and company have gone the only route left: trade for and sign old dudes! So ironically, the Rowand and Zito deals were not only bad on their own, but coupled with the success of the Giants younger talent, they also forced Sabean to exacerbate his habit of signing over the hill players.

Shankbone
Shankbone

I'd add one more to the stark contrast: Kevin Towers cut the following guys quickly: Armando Galarraga, Russell Branyan, Aaron Heilman and to a lessor degree Cody Ranson and Willy Mo Pena. Those contracts weren't for as high dollar as Tejada/Rowand, but getting bad results he acted and it paid off. 1B was in flux (as was 3B with Melvin Mora) and he kept working at it. He had Drew go down, he traded for macDonald AND picked up Hill. Hill is a big improvement over Kelly Johnson, and has torn it up. Justifying bad contracts by putting bad players in the field won't lead to championships, or even the playoffs. Joeneverleft - I've read your excellent full article on the free agents/Dusty years. I think the speed dial on the old Motorola Razr has less than half a dozen names left on it. Here's the list of longest tenured GMs Brian Sabean, Giants, 1996 Billy Beane, Athletics, 1997 Brian Cashman, Yankees, 1998 Dan O'Dowd, Rockies, 1999 Kenny Williams, White Sox, 2000 Larry Beinfest, Marlins, 2002 Dave Dombrowski, Tigers, 2002 Jim Hendry, Cubs, 2002 Doug Melvin, Brewers, 2002 Theo Epstein, Red Sox, 2002 Jon Daniels, Rangers, 2005 Andrew Friedman, Rays, 2005 Ned Colletti, Dodgers, 2005 Epstein/Daniels/Friedman are obvious young whippersnappers and Coletti replaced Billy Beane's disciple in LA. Thats the real start of the "Moneyball GM", whatever that is. The old school guys are almost gone. Actually its sort of funny how similar Beane and Sabean have become. Kevin Towers could be called old school, but he's always in-division. I'm surprised given his background that Sabean hasn't hooked up more with Brian Cashman. There was that brew-up over Buster Olney saying Sabean doesn't return calls. I think that was more Olney being salty about having no access, but Sabean's gruff no bones attitude is in the distinct minority at this point and most likely doesn't help him. I like Sabean the drafter the past few years, as priorities have shifted. But at the moment our pitching is so far ahead of the hitting talent that is here or coming its gonna take a mighty big bridge. Bridges cost money.

Allen Gillespie
Allen Gillespie

The reason the Giants score so few runs is they don't get on base often enough. The Yankees, for example, have regulars hitting .260 but they have OBPs of .360. When the Giants have someone hitting .220, his OBP will be .240. This is a disaster and the problem comes from top management and the lack of interest in selecting and rewarding players through the system for getting on base. Sabean just doesn't understand and the Giants are toast because of that.

Chatom
Chatom

I also do not want to remain pessimistic too long, but (especially after tonight's trouncing) it feels appropriate. I think last night's 6th inning truly encapsulated all that Bochy and Sabean do wrong. Sabean goes out and gets an outfielder (albeit a stud) before the deadline but doesn't upgrade at all at the catcher position. (Do I even mention the shortstop issue)? I mean, Beltran legitimately still ranks as one of the all-around best options in the outfield. But, the Giants, until the loss of Nate, did not really need an outfield upgrade. To his credit, the Giants did need a middle of the order hitter, but the move seemed less about helping the squad and more about sex appeal. Enter last night and Bochy's gaffe. Runners on first and second no out, and everybody in the stadium knew Whiteside would soon hit into a double play. To save all suspense: he did. Last year, Bochy has him bunt and either gives Cainer a chance or pinch-hits... Why wouldn't you pinch-hit with the bullpen the Gmen have? The rest of the game you documented perfectly. I have never been much of a Mustacio fan, and I'm hoping he doesn't have to manage quite as much next year. Unfortunately, that would require Sabean learning to field an offense with anyone on the right side of his career. Thanks again, guys, for another entertaining season.

@Joeneverleft
@Joeneverleft

I think you identified a symptom of the Giants long standing problem in your alluding to Aubrey Huff making the last out. Huff follows Rowand who followed Zito who followed Dave Roberts, Rich Aurilia, Bengie Molina, and virtually just about every old player, position or otherwise who was supposed to elevate the Giants game a notch. Contrary to some, I do think Sabean knows what it takes to make an offense tick. I just don't think he has the wherewithal and/or the relationships anymore to bring in quality players and hasn't in a long time as their long running lack of run production will attest. All the guys in front offices around the league from the 1997 to 2002 era are mostly gone and moved on. Dusty Baker, a favorite of his, primary strength was his recruiting ability, not his game-day management techniques, is no longer around to collaborate with him on his deals. Note that there have been no Ellis Burks, Andres Gallaragas, Joe Carters Shawon Dunstons and Kenny Loftons to lead the way for the younger guys since 2003. The Giants have been at the very bottom of offensive productivity since 2005. Only once (last year) have they risen above 24th in runs scored during that period. Even a healthy Posey and Sandoval are not enough, hence the desperate scrambles for Jose Guillen, Cody Ross, Pat Burrell, and the AAA ers they've brought up this year. I just don't think Sabean can get it done anymore. Not because he's dumb. But because the game has changed and the front offices have changed and his old standby pals around the league are no longer in a position to help him like they used to.