8 responses to “Farm Review: Connecticut Defenders”

  1. obsessivegiantscompulsive

    Nice rundown.

    About Ishikawa, how old are your stats? Fangraphs have him at 19.8% K%, so I wanted to reconcile between your # and their number, see if it is a matter of timing or methodology. 16.1% would be great for him, but 19.8% not so much.

    Also, I had his walk rate to be that high previously too, so I guess I need to know what your source is to see where I’m off.

    I would also add that power in Dodd Stadium is well documented to be decreased 40%+ relative to other ballparks in the Eastern League by SLG, ISO, HR-rate. So any speculation on weather and other conditions are well and good, but the fact is that hitters there, both our team and opposing teams (as viewed in the mirror that is our pitcher’s stats) suffer when they hit there, and suffer greatly, in terms of power. The disparity is even worse – in the opposite direction – than that for the Rockies stadium pre-humidor.

    Lastly, the reason Ishikawa had problems in 2006 was because of Dodd. Here are his lines from SJ the year before, the 2006′s home and road numbers:

    2004 .256/.357/.448/.805, 24 AB/HR
    2005 .282/.387/.531/.918, 20 AB/HR
    2006:
    Road .244/.332/.470/.801, 23 AB/HR
    Home .212/.289/.314/.603, 46 AB/HR

    Clearly, he hit as well as he did previously at lower levels on the road, but his home numbers totally skewed the view of his true talent level, much like how it masked Bowker’s over 1.000 OPS on the road last year vs. mid-700′s OPS at home while in AA last season.

    Also, here are some old stats on his peripherals:

    Year      BABIP  BB%    Contact% BB/K  AB/HR
    2004      0.330  11.3%  69.0%    41%   23.7
    2005      0.356  13.9%  70.1%    54%   19.6
    2006-Road 0.324  11.8%  66.5%    40%   23.4
    2006-Home 0.265  8.7%   73.7%    36%   45.7
    2006      0.295  10.4%  69.8%    38%   30.1 

    His road stats in 2006 were very much in line with what he was doing before in the minors, hence emphasizing my point that he didn’t regress or do worse in AA, he, along with every other hitter with 5 or more homeruns, suffered from hitting at that hell-hole of a park, Dodd Stadium.

    So, it is good that he is finally figuring out how to not strikeout, but he should have been doing it at AAA the past two seasons, and thus be ready to come up if needed this year, instead of still in AA.

    In addition, we don’t know that he wouldn’t have figured this out last year in AAA rather than taking over a year to figure it out at lower levels, because when facing lessor talents, he doesn’t see as much quality pitches and could get away with whatever hitch in his swing that made him strike out so much previously instead of working on it. He could have figured this out last year and took over 1B late in the season instead of being sent back to San Jose.

  2. delorean

    Can we have Romo instead of Zito please? kthxbye

  3. Zlax45

    Is that Joe Martinez from Boston College?

  4. Bay City Ball › Chulk DFA’d, Romo Called Up

    [...] with poor depth in the bullpen to pick him up. As for Sergio Romo, I’ve written about him as recently as last week. I’m a fan of him and I’ll be excited to see him pitch on TV. He’s doesn’t [...]

  5. Wednesday Morning Update: Sore Knee Edition » Bay City Ball

    [...] for Ishikawa, I wrote about him last when he was in AA Connecticut: The Giants sent Ishikawa back to AA this year and he’s made [...]

Leave a Reply

You must be logged in to post a comment.