8 responses to “Moolah, Cash, Dough, Cabbage!”

  1. obsessivegiantscompulsive

    I guess you missed it, but El Lefty Malo has had the salaries of the players with contracts on the side of his blog for years now, plus has a link to Cots, which has the full contract details for major leaguers. In addition, ESPN has had the salaries for teams for years as well. Welcome to the 21st Century!

    About Lincecum, tell us something we don’t know.

    Again about the cheap and free, I suggest you back it up with examples of these purported cheap and free relievers. And by extension, are you saying that once a player proves himself as a good closer, like Mariano Duncan, you let him go because you can find a cheap and free closer somewhere else?

    Cheap and free rotation does not mean that it is a good rotation. That’s a function of good player acquisition. The Pirates, Royals, Rays, any historically bad teams often have a very cheap rotation, but they weren’t very good. What is your point? You appear to be lauding Sabean here, is that your intent? Because it was he who put together this cheap – and most importantly, productive – pitching staff.

    It is not overspending for pitching, it is what the market will bear. If the teams could not afford it, they would not be spending it. With rising revenues, particularly from their internet business, they can afford to pay more, the industry has been in an high inflationary period for a long time now.

    Every team has deadweight, I know it’s exciting to see the salaries but they have been around if you looked for it since at least 2003. And if you go through most teams who actually keep and pay their players, there will be deadweights, there are always deadweights, it is the degree that differs. That’s why I would prefer that teams just go with one-year contracts, so that such situations don’t happen long-term. But unfortunately players take that as an insult and then they leave.

    For example, Lowry’s contract looked good when he signed it, but now you consider it deadweight. God forbid it happens, but Lincecum could be signed to a big contract a la what the Brewers did with Braun or Rays with Longoria but then have physical problems making his contract a deadweight. So are you advocating for Lincecum to be signed long-term and risk him being a deadweight or just do year to year contracts with him. There are long-term consequences to statements you make.

    Durham is not only “playing better lately”, but he’s been raking – .347/.431/.465/.896 – and he’s been doing it since the end of April, over 6 weeks ago. In other words, he’s been doing it for most of the season.

    Likewise, Aurilia since his low OPS on April 19, has hit .299/.380/.514/.894, with 5 homers in 107 AB. Bowker since the same date: .225/.279/.357/.636, with 4 homers in 129 AB.

    It is the play of Durham and Aurilia, as well as Rowand and Molina, that has kept the Giants afloat for the past six weeks. And I would be remiss if I don’t give a big tip of the cap to Jose Castillo too, horrible April but since then, .305/.359/.534/.893 with 5 HR in 131 AB.

    Lewis has been OK since his hot start the first two weeks of the season, .254/.338/.420/.758, which is about what Roberts has done, so yes, he’s deadweight now.

    The key thing is that he appears to have learned something with Roberts around, he was horrible his whole minor league career in stealing bases, never broke 70% when most experts say 75-80% is the breakeven point. This season, he’s at 84%.

    What you are not accounting for is where some of that $17M is going to next year. Check out Cots via ELM, the contracts are all there, you even note salary raises above, about $4M is gone to Zito’s bump to $18M, a bump of $2M to Lowry, Cain will get a bump, and Lincecum whether through signing with the Giants or getting a raise for being the best pitcher around, should get a big bump as well. Add in Sanchez and arbitration, I believe, plus perhaps Castillo, and you imply a raise for Rowand, and much of that $17M is accounted for already.

    In addition, the total budget is around $87M if I remember right from KNBR radio, so a $17M drop would be significant drop, about 20%, not a slight drop.

    Lastly, I would add that I hope the Giants use some of this freed money on their farm system, get a few more instructors, get a few more scouts, put the teams in parks that are good situations, instead of crappy ones like Dodd Stadium and, even, San Jose Municipal, though I read that the owners are preparing for a new stadium at some point near-term.

  2. delorean

    Solid insights, Chris. I also appreciate the Frandsen comment — I’m not counting on Frandsen for anything right now” — it seems like some fans have this romantic recollection of the pre-injury Frandsen, as though he were something other than a *maybe* league average utility guy.

  3. delorean

    Glad to be here!

    I never thought that highly of Franny before the injury, although his Grit metrics are off the chart. However, agreed about the timing of the injury: this woulda been the year that he would have had the chance to prove me wrong.

  4. obsessivegiantscompulsive

    I’m very sorry that I was jerky, but please, read over what you wrote, you were writing like it was the greatest thing since sliced bread that salaries were available. I did not get any indication it was the format you enjoyed, as that’s something else. And I should have known better, so my apology on that too.

    Yes, the Padres are a pretty good example, I’ll grant that, but I think that, just like Moneyball’s focus on OBP, the efficient marketplace is filling the gap on that supply-demand imbalance.

    That’s already happening with Japanese relievers that SD started, with LA and Boston picking up good guys, and I think the Brewers too, maybe somewhere in the Mid-west.

    Plus, as much as I like the Yabu story, the history of relievers who do well and fizzle out are as long as the history of baseball, it is too soon to annoint anything regarding his performance, due to the small sample problem with relievers, other than to enjoy it and hope it continues.

    As much as we like to rib GMs, there are not all stupid either, anytime I hear that there is some market inefficiency that can be exploited, the economist in me tells me that the invisible hand is already working to put things in balance.

    I just don’t think there is a lot out there, I mean, Sabean has done it for years himself, picking up Embree, F-Rod, Eyre, from what I can remember, he was doing it before the Padres were but got away from that in recent years.

    Yes, about the cheap rotation, you did mention that later, much later, when you should have put it up above where you are talking about that cheap rotation. Again, read over what you wrote in that one section, all you spoke about there is how cheap the rotation is, you didn’t mention how good it is that Sabean had put together such a cheap AND good rotation together.

    And not once in your piece did you say that Sabean has done a great job of putting together our pitching staff. There is enough negativity out there on him, people tend to forget that there is a lot of good that he has done too, I feel that is something people need to remember too.

    Zito was a PR gamble by Magawan, much like his Barry Bonds signing, and he was hoping to catch lightening in the bottle twice. I don’t blame Sabean for this one. It was a calculated gamble, even the diminished Zito prior to signing with the Giants was still pretty good, a high 3 ERA is actually very good for the AL, and he would have been moving to the NL where you get 2-3 easy outs with the pitcher (when you are not walking them), so it was logical to think that he would have been OK for the Giants in the near term and then you cross your fingers regarding the long-term. Unfortunately, Zito was not as zen as he appeared to be or made himself out to be, and the contract got inside his head.

    My understsanding of the contract negotiations was that the Mets had offered 6 years at an average $18M and that the Giants won him by adding a year. So, based on that, I don’t think that you can blame the Giants for raising salaries, it was going to happen with Zito with or without the Giants.

    About Aurilia: it was you who said he was deadweight. If you didn’t care about him because he won’t be here next year, that’s another thing, but you called him a deadweight. A true deadweight was Edgardo Alfonzo and Benitez, salary paid and nothing gained. Aurilia is earning his salary right now.

    Now, is he blocking Bowker? Yes, but that’s another thing.

    And on what do you base your opinion that Bowker is a better hitter than his stats indicate right now? Many could probably have said the same about Linden after his one good year in AAA a few years back, but I think it says something that he hasn’t been able to latch onto a MLB roster still.

    I like Bowker, but he’s already getting the vast majority of the starts against RHP, except that Aurilia gets the tough ones. And when the vets are hitting around .900 OPS, unless Bowker is hitting like a superstar, I don’t see any great reason to start him, just to start him. There has to be some accountability for performance.

    That said, he had a really nice weekend, perhaps he’s finally adjusting to the pitcher’s adjustments, hopefully he can continue the momentum. If he’s hitting well, I would hope he gets a lot more play.

    About Durham: fair enough, but he hasn’t been a deadweight this season, and that was your point of contention.

    About Roberts: I read on sfgiants.com in a piece on his progress that he’s been sitting in the dugout, helping out the young players. He would be the perfect coach for basestealing for the Giants once he retires.

    Thinking about him, I think that’s why Schierholtz hasn’t been brought up yet, they will need a spot in the OF once Roberts returns, and he will be untradeable at that point, so then Winn would become the logical target to move out, which frees RF for Lewis to play while Roberts returns to LF. After Roberts shows some health and productivity, then they can think about trading him away in the off-season.

    But Horwitz is making a name for himself right now, so things might move faster if he gets hot enough.

    About salary, here is what you wrote: “To my immediate knowledge, there isn’t a whole lot on the FA market this coming offseason that the Giants can apply the $17M that they’ll be getting with Durham, Aurilia, and Omar coming off the books.” If a lot of the $17M is taken, then how can they apply it to any free agent?

    About Zito, yeah, very unfortunate, particularly in light of how well Sanchez and Correia have done, but those are not things you can rely on when you are making roster decisions before they showed that they are capable of doing this. It was never a foregone conclusion that either would succeed, same for Lincecum, and given the unfortunate example of Lowry, you never know when it’s going to end. Hence why I like the pitching first approach of the past decade, when one falls down, hopefully you have two ready to take over.

    A rotation of Cain, Morris, Lowry, plus two question marks is not a rotation that you take into battle for playoff contention, and that is what the Giants was trying to do with Barry’s 2007 season. Obviously, it didn’t work.

Leave a Reply

You must be logged in to post a comment.