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	<title>Comments on: Yes We Cain!</title>
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	<link>http://www.baycityball.com/2008/06/10/yes-we-cain/</link>
	<description>Giants Baseball With a Side of STATS</description>
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		<title>By: Chris</title>
		<link>http://www.baycityball.com/2008/06/10/yes-we-cain/comment-page-1/#comment-3405</link>
		<dc:creator>Chris</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 10 Jun 2008 17:50:44 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>$14.5 this year, $18M next ;)

Cain has always been an extreme flyball pitcher, but his first two years of full season starting he really kept the ball in the yard. Something like 7% in &#039;06 and 5% last year. 

Cain is essentially striking out hitters and walking hitters at the same rate this year than previous years.

K% 
06 - 21.9
07 - 19.6 
08 - 20.0

BB%
06 - 10.6
07 - 9.5
08 - 10.8

The difference comes in when you look at his HR/F ratio

HR/F
06 - 7.1
07 - 5.5
08 - 10.3

&gt;&gt; And I found it funny that you mention how poor a hitting team the Nats are, but Cain gave up 8 hits in 6.1 innings, he was lucky to get out with only 1 run given up.

One of those hits was the weak chopper that Clippard hit. I&#039;m just happy that his walks were down and he didn&#039;t give up the longball.

I&#039;d love to do a PFX analysis of his start but I just don&#039;t have the time to pull all that data today, it&#039;s a shame too, I bet theres some good info in there.

Sorry about the website problems, my host is having some hiccups today, hopefully they clear up soon.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>$14.5 this year, $18M next <img src='http://www.baycityball.com/wordpress/wp-includes/images/smilies/icon_wink.gif' alt=';)' class='wp-smiley' /> </p>
<p>Cain has always been an extreme flyball pitcher, but his first two years of full season starting he really kept the ball in the yard. Something like 7% in &#8216;06 and 5% last year. </p>
<p>Cain is essentially striking out hitters and walking hitters at the same rate this year than previous years.</p>
<p>K%<br />
06 &#8211; 21.9<br />
07 &#8211; 19.6<br />
08 &#8211; 20.0</p>
<p>BB%<br />
06 &#8211; 10.6<br />
07 &#8211; 9.5<br />
08 &#8211; 10.8</p>
<p>The difference comes in when you look at his HR/F ratio</p>
<p>HR/F<br />
06 &#8211; 7.1<br />
07 &#8211; 5.5<br />
08 &#8211; 10.3</p>
<p>>> And I found it funny that you mention how poor a hitting team the Nats are, but Cain gave up 8 hits in 6.1 innings, he was lucky to get out with only 1 run given up.</p>
<p>One of those hits was the weak chopper that Clippard hit. I&#8217;m just happy that his walks were down and he didn&#8217;t give up the longball.</p>
<p>I&#8217;d love to do a PFX analysis of his start but I just don&#8217;t have the time to pull all that data today, it&#8217;s a shame too, I bet theres some good info in there.</p>
<p>Sorry about the website problems, my host is having some hiccups today, hopefully they clear up soon.</p>
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		<title>By: obsessivegiantscompulsive</title>
		<link>http://www.baycityball.com/2008/06/10/yes-we-cain/comment-page-1/#comment-3404</link>
		<dc:creator>obsessivegiantscompulsive</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 10 Jun 2008 17:24:09 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.baycityball.com/?p=263#comment-3404</guid>
		<description>FYI, I&#039;ve been having problems pulling up your website today, plus a while to post the above...</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>FYI, I&#8217;ve been having problems pulling up your website today, plus a while to post the above&#8230;</p>
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	<item>
		<title>By: obsessivegiantscompulsive</title>
		<link>http://www.baycityball.com/2008/06/10/yes-we-cain/comment-page-1/#comment-3403</link>
		<dc:creator>obsessivegiantscompulsive</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 10 Jun 2008 17:23:29 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.baycityball.com/?p=263#comment-3403</guid>
		<description>Actually, about $14M, his salary this year is $14.5M, but, to paraphrase a long-ago politician, a million here, a million there, pretty soon you&#039;re talking a lot of money.  :^)

Homeruns are really a function of flyballs and random luck (except perhaps in Colorado, Texas, and probably Philadelphia), so I think the much better indication of Cain&#039;s performance is his number of walks - one - and his K/BB ratio, which was 6:1.

And I found it funny that you mention how poor a hitting team the Nats are, but Cain gave up 8 hits in 6.1 innings, he was lucky to get out with only 1 run given up.  Cain usually keeps the hit total low, but I think I&#039;ll take this if it means he only walks one batter per game.

As far as being back on track, I think we need to take it one game at a time with Cain.  As good as he&#039;s been, he&#039;s always been feast or famine, but usually sometime in the summer things click in and he is just super overall.  I wasn&#039;t worried about him now, I was much more worried his first full season with us, and less so but still very worried last season, but he&#039;s a relatively known quality now, he&#039;s going to have his ups and downs.  And that&#039;s OK because his ups are way better than his downs.  Just roll with it.

What I would really like to see is one of your great Pitch F/X analysis of Cain&#039;s start in Wash, to see how different it was compared to previous starts or something.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Actually, about $14M, his salary this year is $14.5M, but, to paraphrase a long-ago politician, a million here, a million there, pretty soon you&#8217;re talking a lot of money.  :^)</p>
<p>Homeruns are really a function of flyballs and random luck (except perhaps in Colorado, Texas, and probably Philadelphia), so I think the much better indication of Cain&#8217;s performance is his number of walks &#8211; one &#8211; and his K/BB ratio, which was 6:1.</p>
<p>And I found it funny that you mention how poor a hitting team the Nats are, but Cain gave up 8 hits in 6.1 innings, he was lucky to get out with only 1 run given up.  Cain usually keeps the hit total low, but I think I&#8217;ll take this if it means he only walks one batter per game.</p>
<p>As far as being back on track, I think we need to take it one game at a time with Cain.  As good as he&#8217;s been, he&#8217;s always been feast or famine, but usually sometime in the summer things click in and he is just super overall.  I wasn&#8217;t worried about him now, I was much more worried his first full season with us, and less so but still very worried last season, but he&#8217;s a relatively known quality now, he&#8217;s going to have his ups and downs.  And that&#8217;s OK because his ups are way better than his downs.  Just roll with it.</p>
<p>What I would really like to see is one of your great Pitch F/X analysis of Cain&#8217;s start in Wash, to see how different it was compared to previous starts or something.</p>
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