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Chris
Chris

>> If you do, don’t take it seriously at all. Are you telling me my 987 career HR's by Lance Berkman don't count?

danifestmestiny
danifestmestiny

If you do, don't take it seriously at all. This is a game where I've seen Joe DiMaggio be a career .220 hitter and where Michael Tucker is a 40/40 guy and HoF lock, so take my posts with a grain of salt or two or ten.

Chris
Chris

Hmm, interesting projections, Danifest. I really like the idea of using Mogul (purely for fun) to simulate some of these guys careers. Maybe it's something I'll try in the future.

danifestmestiny
danifestmestiny

I'll follow up my Baseball Mogul based prediction yesterday for one today as well. The following players have all been part of my franchise, read on for what's in store for them. Tim Alderson: A very good but in no ways dominant pitcher in the minors through 2013, was called up as a mid season replacement in that year and went 7-9 with a 5.00 ERA. Has completely sucked in 2014 but at least I spun him and another crap prospect off for Tom Gorzellany (who is actually doing very well) at the trade deadline. Henry Sosa: Little cause to call him up other than as an injury replacement. As of 7/30/2014 has 36.2 IP in MLB, and probably a 4.5 ERA in AAA ball. Clayton Tanner: Currently my #5 starter. Nothing special, but he isn't horrible and delivers what you'd expect from a #5 guy without making me want to pull my hair out. In his third season has a 28-29 record and an ERA around 4.8 Sorry fans, yesterday was a lot more fun.

Chris
Chris

>> Neglecting the draft? Seems like we are getting a lot of prospects coming up and contributing. And the majority of the team is made up with farm prospects. Yeah, neglect. You never-ever-ever, ever! punt a pick to sign a Michael Tucker. It's foolish, regardless of any percentage of "rolling the dice", to willfully punt a pick for a not even league average outfielder, who most likely, you could have found for free on the waiver wires or in AAA. I'm sorry but it just wasn't a good move. D'Alessio struck out at 20% when he was in the AZL. Backdrop or not, he's got contact problems and when your a 4-year college player, it's a red flag. Snyder does strike out his fair share of hitters, I'll be interested in seeing how his approach translates once he moves up the ladder and plays against hitters who are more adapt at breaking stuff. His K% right now is pretty solid, I'd love to get my hands on minor league splits by league (total PA's in a league for pitching). But he's 6th in the California League right now by K% for starters. English is 4th. What can I say, I like Alderson so far and I think he could be a front of the rotation type of guy. He's really young for the California League and he's holding his own, that's admirable.

obsessivegiantscompu
obsessivegiantscompu

Very nice rundown. I have some additional comments. Neglecting the draft? Seems like we are getting a lot of prospects coming up and contributing. And the majority of the team is made up with farm prospects. They made a strategic choice to sign players instead of rolling the dice on prospects that in all likelihood will fail, the odds of finding a good starting player with that pick we lost by signing Tucker was roughly 10%. Including the picks lost the next year, that roughly equals 25% odds of finding a good player. That's hardly neglect, particularly when they participated in Draft and Follows and signed Ishikawa for big money in the later rounds, plus signing international players like Sharlong Schoop, Waldis Joaquin, Martis, then Villalona and others, which made up for losing picks. Neglect would be firing most of the scouts, underdrafting by signing players for less bonus (the Giants only did that one season, 2003, and never with their top picks), not having a presence internationally, not draft and following (Marcus Sanders and others), not signing players for overslot later in the draft (Jeremiah Luster was another one), not signing amateur free agents (like Jeremy Accardo and Brian Horwitz). About Sandoval, FYI, they first had him at catcher and he was highly considered that first season, the prospect book I rely on had him as a starter eventually in the majors after the 2005 season. But then they moved him to 1B/3B for the 2006 season, I guess so that he could concentrate on hitting more plus less wear and tear, but his hitting suffered. So they moved him back to catching for the 2007 season and he thrived both offensively and defensively (of course, the Sally League is more pitching oriented, Cal League more hitting oriented despite their home park). The Giants reportedly kept him at San Jose this season mainly so that Decker, a former catcher, could work with him on his defense. Also, a MiLB study by Jonathan Mayo during the off-season found that there is something about the backdrop that makes it hard for hitters to see the ball, contributing to them making a lot of strikeouts there. So that is probably a strong contributing factor to why D'Alessio is striking out so much more now. One good thing about Snyder that you didn't mention is that despite being a finesse pitcher, he's been strking out batters at a very high rate while in our farm system, roughly around 9 K/9. FYI, the prospect book I rely on has most of the pitchers as back of the rotation guys, as noted, but Sosa is seen as a #2 starter and Alderson as a #3 starter type.